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Prediction Markets
Launching UPFI
Yesterday we announced the US Political Future Index (UPFI) on X
Sep 23
•
Lucas
and
Doug Crescenzi
Another Kalshi Exchange Halt
and the US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index
May 9
•
Lucas
Exploring Kalshi's Exchange Halt
on april 29th Kalshi unexpectedly halted their exchange for an hour
Apr 30
•
Lucas
In Defense of Play Money Markets
markets for experimentation
Mar 5
•
Lucas
9
5
2
Users of Event Markets
crypto bros, forecasters, and tradfi participants
Dec 6, 2024
•
Lucas
3
2
Ramblings on Event Markets
prediction markets, impact funds, and futarchy
Oct 6, 2024
•
Lucas
6
3
Notes on Manifest
A festival for forecasting and prediction markets, hosted by Manifold and Manifund.
Jun 11, 2024
•
Nate
and
Lucas
1
2
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