Adjacent Press | Lucas | Substack

2.2.2026 - A Dealmaker At Heart

Feb 2 • Lucas

Most Popular

10 things I would do if I lead strategy/product at Polymarket

Feb 9, 2025 • Lucas

Ramblings on Event Markets

Oct 6, 2024 • Lucas

In Defense of Play Money Markets

Mar 5, 2025 • Lucas

Manifest ~Talk 2025

Jun 29, 2025 • Lucas

Prediction Markets

Yesterday we announced the US Political Future Index (UPFI) on X

Sep 23, 2025 • Lucas and Doug Crescenzi

Another Kalshi Exchange Halt

and the US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index

May 9, 2025 • Lucas

Exploring Kalshi's Exchange Halt

on april 29th Kalshi unexpectedly halted their exchange for an hour

Apr 30, 2025 • Lucas

Recent posts

1.30.2026 - The New Fed Chair

Jan 30 • Lucas

1.29.2026 - Did You Miss The Shutdown?

Jan 29 • Lucas

1.28.2026 - ICE Cold

Jan 28 • Lucas

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